|
Depletion & U.S. Energy Policy
"U.S. natural gas supplies could fall as much as 10% in as little as six months from now. The drop could be close to double this amount by the time it bottoms.
"If this happens, it will jolt the U.S. economy far worse than the 1973 Oil Embargo. And unfortunately, there is no quick fix to this supply crisis."
Matthew R. Simmons, Simmons & Company International [May 23, 2002]
Natural Gas industry organizations and governments project unfettered production growth into the foreseeable future. Can this optimism be substantiated by the reality of market trends and available geological data? Here you can view projections by GRI (now GTI) that might persuade us to think that we have nothing to worry about.
Here are some of GRI's projections [Click on images for detailed views]
A lesson in the "Law" of Supply and Demand
|
First, let's look at Demand
|

Now look just at how gas gets used, speculate about future demand, |

... and project electricity's share of future gas demand. |
and now Supply
|

Well, then, how about gas from Canada? The USA is importing 60% of Canada's current supply, so here GRI says there is more for the taking. After all, it's only money! |

How about bringing technology to the rescue? It worked before, why not now? |
Merchant electrical generators are building or proposing gas-fired power plants that will only create ever greater dependency on a dwindling resource. Isn't it about time for the energy industry to get serious about alternatives to oil and natural gas?
Just in: Shell AMEC deal to create over 4,000 jobs -- yet another example of selling the future of the many for short term economic gain of the few. Perhaps it is also pertinent in that the UK energy sector is running out of local jobs -- in the North Sea -- because of the impending decline in oil extraction there.
|
 |
 |
The iNetNews Service is a multi-media, project-based, experiential learning program for youth, sponsored by SolarQuest® and Solar Today®. Serving as iNetNews Team correspondents, young people with demonstrated interest in sustainable energy participate in and report on local, national, and international events.
|
| Join youth around the world in the 21st century Quest for sustainability.
|
|
|